Normally every year I make a big write-up of what I think will win and should win at the Oscars. For a variety of reasons I don’t have time to make a granular post this time, unfortunately. But to keep up the tradition I’m going to just dump it here as a list. For the vast majority the reasoning is “I dunno, that’s what my gut says.”
Best Picture
Will Win: CODA
Should Win: The Power of the Dog
Best Director
Will Win: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Should Win: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Best Actor
Will Win: Will Smith, King Richard
Should Win: Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
Best Actress
Will Win: Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Should Win: Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter
Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Troy Kotsur, CODA
Should Win: Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog
Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
Should Win: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: Don’t Look Up
Should Win: The Worst Person in the World
Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: The Power of the Dog
Should Win: Drive My Car
Best Animated Feature
Will Win: Encanto
Should Win: Encanto
Best International Feature
Will Win: Drive My Car
Should Win: Drive My Car
Best Documentary Feature
Will Win: Summer of Soul
Should Win: Summer of Soul
Best Documentary Short
Will Win: When We Were Bullies
Should Win: Three Songs for Benazir
Best Live Action Short
Will Win: The Long Goodbye
Should Win: (Abstain)
Best Animated Short
Will Win: Robin Robin
Should Win: Robin Robin
Best Original Score
Will Win: Dune
Should Win: The Power of the Dog
Best Original Song
Will Win: “No Time to Die”
Should Win: “No Time to Die”
Best Sound
Will Win: Dune
Should Win: Dune
Best Production Design
Will Win: Dune
Should Win: The Tragedy of Macbeth
Best Cinematography
Will Win: The Power of the Dog
Should Win: The Power of the Dog
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Will Win: House of Gucci
Should Win: Dune
Best Costume Design
Will Win: Cruella
Should Win: Dune
Best Editing
Will Win: Dune
Should Win: The Power of the Dog
Best Visual Effects
Will Win: Dune
Should Win: Dune